Liberty Energy Navigates Market Turbulence, Bets Big on Power Infrastructure Expansion

By Sophia Reynolds | Financial Markets Editor

DENVER — Liberty Energy Inc. (NYSE: LBRT) reported a stronger-than-expected finish to 2025, showcasing operational resilience in the face of what CEO Ron Gusek termed a "year of heightened uncertainty." While its traditional hydraulic fracturing business faced headwinds, the company signaled a strategic acceleration of its Liberty Power Innovations (LPI) infrastructure platform, positioning it for the growing demand for on-site power generation.

The oilfield services provider posted full-year revenue of $4.0 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $634 million, down from $922 million in 2024—a decline management attributed to a softer industry backdrop. However, sequential improvement in the fourth quarter, with revenue up 10% to $1.0 billion, suggested stabilizing conditions. The company returned $77 million to shareholders via dividends and buybacks.

"The market has been through a recalibration," Gusek stated on the earnings call. "We're seeing a flight to quality, where operators prioritize providers capable of delivering efficiency, automation, and continuous operations." He highlighted that Liberty's AI-driven asset optimization tools reduced maintenance costs per unit of work by approximately 14%.

A significant portion of the discussion focused on Liberty's pivot toward power infrastructure. Executives outlined plans to deploy about 3 gigawatts (GW) of distributed power projects by 2029, largely targeting data centers and industrial users seeking reliable, on-site generation amid an increasingly strained national grid. CFO Michael Stock noted the company expects to take delivery of around 500 MW of generation equipment in 2026 alone, backed by substantial capital commitments.

"Our 'Power as a Service' model is designed for rapid deployment and predictable costs," Gusek explained, detailing the Forte platform and related technologies. He cited data centers as a rapidly expanding segment of their opportunity set.

For the coming year, guidance remains cautious. Management anticipates 2026 revenue to be roughly flat year-over-year, with pricing pressure in completion services offsetting higher fleet utilization. Adjusted EBITDA is projected to decline, partly due to $15-$20 million in incremental costs for scaling the LPI business. Significant contributions from power projects are not expected until 2027.

The call also addressed recent operational disruptions, including a severe weather event that idled nearly two-thirds of Liberty's capacity in Texas and Louisiana for up to five days. Gusek acknowledged the impact but said a full financial quantification was premature.

In closing, Gusek broadened the conversation to energy policy, referencing constituent complaints about high energy costs. "Energy matters," he asserted, emphasizing Liberty's mission to support "abundant, affordable, and reliable" supply—a subtle critique of policies that could raise household expenses in pursuit of climate targets.

Market Voices: Analyst & Investor Reactions

Sarah Chen, Energy Analyst at Horizon Capital: "Liberty's dual-track strategy is pragmatic. They're defending margin in a tough completions market while executing a capital-intensive but potentially high-return buildout in distributed power. The 3 GW target by 2029 is ambitious and signals real conviction."

Mark Reynolds, Portfolio Manager: "The cash return metrics and disciplined capex are positives. However, the guide for lower EBITDA in '26 is a concern. The market will need to see tangible, profitable growth from the power segment soon to justify the current investment cycle."

Janice Kowalski, Independent Shareholder: "Enough with the 'power platform' fairy tale! This is a fracking company. They're burning cash on a speculative side project while their core business faces 'mid-single digit' price cuts. That weather excuse for the Q1 impact sounds convenient. Shareholders want returns now, not promises of gigawatts in 2027."

David Park, Infrastructure Fund Director: "The strategic shift is timely. Data center power demand is a multi-decade tailwind. Liberty's oilfield experience with modular, reliable off-grid power gives them a unique edge. The project finance model they describe is crucial for scaling without over-leveraging the balance sheet."

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