Markets in Turmoil: Precious Metals Tumble as Trump Taps Kevin Warsh for Fed Leadership

By Sophia Reynolds | Financial Markets Editor

Financial markets reeled on Friday as President Donald Trump announced his intention to nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve, sending shockwaves through the commodities sector. The surprise move triggered a massive sell-off in precious metals, with investors hastily recalibrating their expectations for U.S. monetary policy.

Gold futures plummeted 11% to settle at $4,763.71 per troy ounce, erasing gains from a recent rally. Silver faced even steeper declines, crashing 31% to $78.60 per ounce. This sharp reversal comes just days after both metals hit multi-year highs, with gold surpassing $5,600 and silver crossing $121, as traders sought safety amid geopolitical tensions and questions surrounding the Fed's autonomy.

The nomination marks a significant shift. President Trump has frequently voiced dissatisfaction with current Chair Jerome Powell, whom he perceived as insufficiently aggressive in cutting interest rates to stimulate the economy. The Fed had held rates steady earlier this week, following a series of cuts in the previous year.

Warsh, a Fed governor from 2006 to 2011 and a former advisor to President George W. Bush, brings a complex pedigree. Initial market reaction branded him a "hawk"—a policymaker primarily concerned with inflation control, which typically translates to higher interest rates. Given gold's traditional inverse relationship with rates, the sell-off was immediate.

"The market's knee-jerk reaction is to see Warsh as a more hawkish alternative to other candidates," noted Ole Hansen, Head of Commodity Strategy at Saxo Bank. "His past resignation from the Fed was rooted in skepticism towards unconventional easing policies, a stance that suggests a less accommodative future."

However, analysis from firms like Macquarie challenges this simplistic view, pointing to Warsh's recent public commentaries advocating for lower rates and institutional reform at the central bank. This suggests his policy approach may have evolved, potentially aligning closer with the President's desires than his early-career reputation implies.

Voices from the Floor

Michael R., Portfolio Manager, Hartford Funds: "This isn't just about one person. It's about signaling. The market is pricing in a potential regime shift away from the ultra-accommodative posture of the last decade. Volatility in metals is the first, but won't be the last, asset class to adjust."

David Chen, Precious Metals Analyst: "The scale of the drop in silver is concerning and feels overdone. While the nomination is significant, fundamental drivers like industrial demand and physical supply haven't changed overnight. This looks like a classic panic flush driven by algorithmic trading."

Janet Kowalski, Independent Trader: "It's an absolute circus. Trump is treating the world's most important central bank like another reality TV show appointment. Warsh's shifting views show he's a political operator, not a steady hand. This undermines global confidence in the dollar and U.S. institutions at a critical time. Investors are right to be terrified."

Professor Alan Brecht, Economic Historian: "History reminds us that Fed leadership transitions often cause short-term market dislocations. The key will be Warsh's confirmation hearings and his detailed testimony on balancing inflation, employment, and financial stability. The long-term trajectory for metals will depend on that clarified mandate."

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