Kalshi's parlay betting, newly accessible via Robinhood, generated unprecedented single-day fee revenue last Sunday, surpassing the platform's historical earnings from all non-sports events combined and signaling a major shift in the prediction market landscape.
In a major policy shift, the CFTC under new Chairman Michael Selig is drafting a comprehensive rulebook for event contracts, aiming to bring regulatory certainty to the fast-growing prediction market industry while fostering 'permissionless innovation.'
A looming partial government shutdown highlights critical nuances in prediction market contracts, with Polymarket and Kalshi odds soaring as procedural delays in Congress turn betting specifics into the central story.
A pivotal week for prediction markets saw Coinbase partner with Kalshi to offer event contracts nationwide, while the CFTC moved to establish clearer regulatory standards. Meanwhile, traders sharply increased bets on a potential U.S. government shutdown.
As platforms like Kalshi gain regulatory traction, major online brokerages are making strategic moves into prediction markets. We analyze what this emerging trend could mean for Webull, Robinhood, and Interactive Brokers.
A Nevada court has temporarily blocked the prediction market platform Polymarket, siding with state regulators who argue its event contracts constitute illegal gambling. The ruling intensifies a global regulatory crackdown that threatens the core business model of an emerging financial sector.
As the Super Bowl kicks off in California—a state without legal sports betting—federally regulated prediction markets are positioned to siphon off a significant portion of wagering activity, potentially reaching record trading volumes this year.
President Donald Trump is expected to nominate Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor with a notably more open stance toward Bitcoin, to lead the central bank. The anticipated move has already triggered market reactions and reshaped expectations for U.S. monetary policy.
President Trump is expected to nominate former Fed governor Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, a move that could signal a pivot toward aggressive rate cuts paired with a reduction of the central bank's balance sheet, reshaping the landscape for markets and cryptocurrencies.
